Elon Musk's Tesla Roadster Could Hit Earth

Image S Sorrensen

The Tesla vehicle that Elon Musk launched into space is likely to stay there for tens of millions of years before crashing into the Earth or Venus.

But given the Roadster is estimated to have a virtually immortal half-life of some 20 million years (as it ever-so-slowly erodes into nothingness in space), the team ultimately "expect collision probabilities with the Earth to be substantial", they write in their paper.

This news comes as a result of an analysis by Czech and Canadian researchers.

Over that epic expanse of time (and space), it's fair to say that a lot of things could happen - and the further ahead we estimate, the fuzzier the picture becomes, given how many gravitational factors could affect the overall trajectory of the vehicle (and the second stage of the Falcon Heavy rocket, to which it remains attached).

In fact, the space-going auto with an astronaut-suited mannequin at the wheel may actually collide with our planet eventually, though the chances are fairly small and the time horizon far, far away, researchers found.

The whimsical payload selected for the experimental flight was Musk's old cherry-red Tesla sports auto. The ride also features a space-suited mannequin strapped in the driver's seat while the radio keeps playing a soundtrack of David Bowie songs. It will pass within about 68.7 million miles of Mars on June 10 and cross the red planet's orbit in July before reaching its farthest distance from the sun - 154.7 million miles - on November 9.

"Although we are not able to tell on which planet the auto will ultimately end up, we're comfortable saying it won't survive in space for more than a few tens of millions of years", lead author Hanno Rein, director of the University of Toronto Scarborough's Centre for Planetary Science, said in a statement.

"There were two possibilities, either it would stay with the terrestrial planets of the inner Solar System, or it would go further out where all these other asteroids and other Kuiper Belt objects are". But this did not seem to be the case.

"We perform simulations to determine the fate of the object over the next several million years, under the relevant perturbations acting on the orbit", the scientist said in the paper.

If it does return to Earth, it is likely to burn up completely, although there is a possibility that a small chunk could hit the ground.

The researchers also determined that the space Tesla will make a relatively close pass by Earth in 2091, coming within a few hundred thousand kilometers of the planet. It will get a bit damaged by small-scale meteorites that might hit it by chance. Well, it turns out that might not be the last we see of it.

Follow Paul on Twitter.

Related News:

  • Magnitude 2.6 quake  near Exeter felt throughout southeastern NH

    Magnitude 2.6 quake near Exeter felt throughout southeastern NH

    The USGS said the quake started at 9:28 a.m. with its epicenter in East Kingston, New Hampshire, just over the MA border. The quake was picked up locally in Amesbury at the middle school where teacher Gale Regis has a seismograph.
    Nintendo shows off more Labo

    Nintendo shows off more Labo

    They're a little more in depth than I'd have imagined - particularly the piano and motorbike bits of the Variety kit . You can either smash through a city, or challenge another Robot-Kit wearing friends to a two-player local battle.
    The Kepler Mission Has Discovered Nearly 100 New Exoplanets

    The Kepler Mission Has Discovered Nearly 100 New Exoplanets

    The discovery was deemed significant because the bright star enables the planets to be observed from "ground-based observatories". But a fix was affected in 2014, and the second phase of its planet-hunting mission, which is still ongoing, was called K2.
  • Danske Bank stays bullish on sterling following inflation report release

    Danske Bank stays bullish on sterling following inflation report release

    Not only was the previous figure revised lower from 9.7% to 9.6%, but the Q4 figure came in with a notable improvement of 8.9%. If concerns remain that stocks could fall again, investors may hesitate to buy risky currencies like the Australian Dollar.
    Trump administration proposes plan to replace food stamps with food boxes

    Trump administration proposes plan to replace food stamps with food boxes

    The budget is just in its proposal stage so it still needs to be debated at the federal level before it becomes a reality . The administration wants to deliver some of those food benefits directly to households in " USDA Food packages ".

    Puma Biotechnology, Inc. (PBYI)'s Stock Is Buy After Today's Huge Increase

    Jafra Capital Management LP acquired a new stake in shares of Puma Biotechnology during the fourth quarter worth about $257,000. Seattle Genetics, Inc., a biotechnology company, develops and commercializes targeted therapies to treat cancer worldwide.
  • Valeant Pharmaceuticals Intl Inc (VRX) Position Trimmed by Zurcher Kantonalbank Zurich Cantonalbank

    Its down 0.09, from 1.08 in 2017Q2. 206.38 million shares or 1.05% more from 204.24 million shares in 2017Q2 were reported. A total of 6.62 Billion shares exchanged at hands and its average trading volume is standing at 17.14 Million shares.
    Facebook and Twitter are not doing enough to protect consumers, European Union  warns

    Facebook and Twitter are not doing enough to protect consumers, European Union warns

    A Google spokesman declined to comment and Twitter did not immediately respond to a request for comment. The European Commission accuses Twitter for changing the general terms of use without notification.
    Nokia Announces Strategic Review Of Digital Health Unit

    Nokia Announces Strategic Review Of Digital Health Unit

    Nokia chose to appoint former Withings CEO, Cedric Hutchings, as unit head, basing a range of digital health devices around a redesigned app, Nokia Health Mate.
  • 5 things to know about Trump's $4.4 trillion budget

    5 things to know about Trump's $4.4 trillion budget

    Ahead of Mulvaney's testimony, Republican committee Chairman Steve Womack asked about the deficit impact of Trump's spending plan. President Donald Trump's infrastructure plan is receiving a frosty response from Democratic members of Congress .

    Esperion Therapeutics, Inc. (ESPR) stock closes Yesterday with $73.76

    The Switzerland-based Bb Biotech Ag has invested 2.91% in the stock. (NASDAQ:ESPR) on Tuesday, September 29 with "Sell" rating. ValuEngine upgraded Esperion Therapeutics from a "sell" rating to a "hold" rating in a research note on Friday, February 2nd.

    Lazard Ltd (NYSE:LAZ) Position Trimmed by Meritage Portfolio Management

    Moreover, Eqis Capital has 0.02% invested in Lazard Ltd (NYSE:LAZ) for 8,858 shares. 4,590 are owned by Cullen Frost Bankers. Finally, The Manufacturers Life Insurance Company boosted its position in shares of Lazard by 18.4% during the 2nd quarter.


Most liked

IL loses at IN , remains winless on road
Morgan also had 10 rebounds, a career-high five blocks, four steals and three assists for the Hoosiers (15-12, 8-7). IN got off to a bit of a slow start scoring the basketball on Wednesday night as the Hoosiers quickly got down 5-0.

What Does The Data Behind Banco Santander, SA (NYSE:SAN) Suggest?
Banco Santander, S.A. (NYSE: SAN ) now has a Weekly Volatility of 2.33% percent while its Monthly Volatility is at 1.60% percent. The stock has actually weakened in the past week, as the company has gathered a -3.08% return in the past 5 trading days.

Bfsg LLC Takes $312000 Position in Constellation Brands, Inc. (NYSE:STZ)
Concorde Asset Management Limited Liability Co has 0.72% invested in Constellation Brands, Inc. ( NYSE :STZ) for 24,344 shares. FBR Capital maintained HomeStreet, Inc. (NASDAQ:HMST) has "Hold" rating given on Monday, November 14 by Sandler O'Neill.

VistaGen Therapeutics, Inc. (VTGN) And Duke Realty Corporation (DRE) Both Are Overvalued
For example, a stock may near its 52 week low in a price correction after earnings expectations for future quarters were revised. Baird set a $75.00 price target on Kilroy Realty and gave the stock a "hold" rating in a report on Monday, February 5th.

Foreign minister not optimistic about next European Union enlargement
European Union leaders are expected to formally endorse the EU's strategy during a special summit in Sofia , Bulgaria, in May. France's Jean-Yves Le Drian was also cautious.

Police cruiser sideswiped during arrest attempt near Salmon Arm
RCMP not only recovered the stolen truck but also recovered a 2003 Focus which was stolen from Enderby. The check revealed the vehicle, a white Ford Aerostar van to be stolen.

Animal welfare at the heart of Labour's agricultural policy
The BVA also supported the proposal for mandatory labelling of meat, particularly the method of slaughter for the animal - stun or non-stun.

Volvo V60 leaked ahead of its debut in Geneva
Under the skin, the 2019 V60 is based on Volvo's Scalable Product Architecture (SPA), just like the XC60 and the 90-Series models. It blends the larger V90's form with subtle design cues lifted from the XC60 SUV, such as the rear taillights.

Facebook is spamming users of its two-factor authentications security
I say another as one is already underway regarding the sending of unauthorized birthday reminder text messages. In order to do that, though, Facebook requires you supply a phone number.

Imran defends Ali Tareen-says PML-N spent money to win by-election
Considered the home ground of Tareen, PTI had won the seat with a margin of around 40,000 votes in a previous by-election in 2015.

Factory gate 'vultures' feast on British Steel pensions
Since March 2017, the scheme has processed 2,600 pension transfers equating to a total value of £1.1bn, according to the trustees. The report relates to a major restructuring of the scheme to prevent its sponsor, Tata Steel UK, from being driven to insolvency.

(NYSE:OXY) Stake Lowered by SFE Investment Counsel
Over the past three months, Occidental Petroleum Corporation insiders have been net sellers, acquiring a net of 267,835 shares. Vermont-based Manchester Capital Mngmt Ltd Liability Com has invested 0.03% in Occidental Petroleum Corporation (NYSE: OXY ).

Quarterly Earnings Forecast Overview: Marathon Petroleum Corporation (MPC)
Cs Mckee Lp increased its stake in Marathon Petro (MPC) by 10.09% based on its latest 2017Q3 regulatory filing with the SEC. Marathon Petroleum Corporation is a part of Basic Materials sector and belongs to Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing industry.

Itau Unibanco Holding SA (ITUB) - Short Term Technical look
With approx. 1.62 billion shares in outstanding, the company has a market cap of $26098.40 as per the current valuation. A trend analysis is a method of analysis that allows traders to predict what will happen with a stock in the future.

Many Bitcoin, Cryptocurrency Owners Not Reporting Holdings On Their Taxes, Report Says
Cryptocurrency investors have had a history of being evasive when it comes to paying taxes on their gains. Likewise, high-profile Bitcoin investors have been warning others to comply with IRS regulations.